BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Lake Mills

Class: A Class Rank: 42 Conference: Top of Iowa Record: (14-26-0) Overall: (16-29-0) Overall Strength =   42.67

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W- L- T) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/28/2021 Home    L *    16.92   6  43   2A 36 (13-31- 0) Forest City           -25.61    -11.39  was 08-27 now 08-28 
 2 09/03/2021 Away    W *    65.35  20   0   1A 42 (11-33- 0) Manly Central Spring   22.82     -2.82                      
 3 09/10/2021 Away    L * *  37.33   0  54    A  1 (57- 4- 0) Britt West Hancock     -5.21    -48.79                      
 4 09/17/2021 Home    L *    27.95  12  44    8 36 (21-23- 0) North Union           -14.58    -17.42                      
 5 09/24/2021 Away    W * *  75.63  47  12    A 48 (12-33- 0) Sheffield West Fork    33.10      1.90                      
 6 10/01/2021 Home    L * *  27.32  25  53    A 26 (25-20- 0) Mason City Newman     -15.22    -12.78                      
 7 10/08/2021 Away    L *    24.47   7  40    A 33 (26-20- 0) Greene North Butler   -18.07    -14.93                      
 8 10/15/2021 Home    L *    49.46  18  49    A  4 (40-14- 0) Saint Ansgar            6.93    -37.93                      
 9 10/22/2021 Home    W * *  40.52  38  28    A 51 ( 6-39- 0) Belmond-Klemme         -2.01     12.01                      
10 08/26/2022 Away    L *    18.73   6  46   2A 36 (13-31- 0) Forest City           -23.80    -16.20                      
11 09/02/2022 Home    L *    29.54  30  41   1A 42 (11-33- 0) Manly Central Spring  -12.99      1.99                      
12 09/09/2022 Home    L * *  32.52   6  60    A  1 (57- 4- 0) Britt West Hancock    -10.02    -43.98                      
13 09/16/2022 Away    L *    40.76  20  44    8 36 (21-23- 0) North Union            -1.77    -22.23                      
14 09/23/2022 Home    W * *  76.82  54  13    A 48 (12-33- 0) Sheffield West Fork    34.29      6.71                      
15 09/30/2022 Away    L * *  33.12  28  55    A 26 (25-20- 0) Mason City Newman      -9.41    -17.59                      
16 10/07/2022 Home    L *    47.66  14  19    A 33 (26-20- 0) Greene North Butler     5.12    -10.12                      
17 10/14/2022 Away    L *    37.27   6  54    A  4 (40-14- 0) Saint Ansgar           -5.26    -42.74                      
18 10/21/2022 Away    W * *  57.33  42  20    A 51 ( 6-39- 0) Belmond-Klemme         14.80      7.20                      
19 08/25/2023 Away    W   *  52.67  14   7    A 43 (13-28- 0) Ackley AGWSR           10.14     -3.14                      
20 09/01/2023 Home    W *    65.54  39  14   1A 42 (11-33- 0) Manly Central Spring   23.01      1.99                      
21 09/08/2023 Away    W * *  68.12  30  22    A 26 (25-20- 0) Mason City Newman      25.59    -17.59                      
22 09/15/2023 Home    W * *  72.82  50  13    A 48 (12-33- 0) Sheffield West Fork    30.29      6.71                      
23 09/22/2023 Away    W *    72.76  20  12    8 36 (21-23- 0) North Union            30.23    -22.23                      
24 09/29/2023 Home    W * *  71.52  41   0    A 51 ( 6-39- 0) Belmond-Klemme         28.99     12.01                      
25 10/06/2023 Away    L * *  50.33   0  41    A  1 (57- 4- 0) Britt West Hancock      7.79    -48.79                      
26 10/13/2023 Home    L *    55.46   6  31    A  4 (40-14- 0) Saint Ansgar           12.93    -37.93                      
27 10/20/2023 Away    W *    71.78  21  14    A 23 (27-19- 0) Nashua-Plainfield      29.25    -22.25                      
28 10/27/2023 Away    L *    52.27   0  33    A  4 (40-14- 0) Saint Ansgar            9.74    -42.74                      
29 08/30/2024 Home    W   *  60.86  20   0    A 43 (13-28- 0) Ackley AGWSR           18.33      1.67                      
30 09/06/2024 Away    L *     5.35   6  46   1A 42 (11-33- 0) Manly Central Spring  -37.18     -2.82                      
31 09/13/2024 Home    L * *  39.32  14  30    A 26 (25-20- 0) Mason City Newman      -3.22    -12.78                      
32 09/20/2024 Away    W * *  50.63  27  17    A 48 (12-33- 0) Sheffield West Fork     8.10      1.90                      
33 09/27/2024 Home    W *    79.95  34  14    8 36 (21-23- 0) North Union            37.42    -17.42  Homecoming          
34 10/04/2024 Away    W * *  49.33  27  13    A 51 ( 6-39- 0) Belmond-Klemme          6.80      7.20  Homecoming          
35 10/11/2024 Home    L * *  32.52   6  60    A  1 (57- 4- 0) Britt West Hancock    -10.02    -43.98                      
36 10/18/2024 Away    L *    44.27  12  53    A  4 (40-14- 0) Saint Ansgar            1.74    -42.74                      
37 10/25/2024 Away    L      37.99   6  50    A  7 (42-12- 0) Wapsie Valley          -4.55    -39.45                      
38 08/29/2025 Home    L *    25.66  12  22   1A 45 ( 9-36- 0) Eagle Grove           -16.87      6.87                      
39 09/05/2025 Away    L *    24.35  15  36   1A 42 (11-33- 0) Manly Central Spring  -18.18     -2.82                      
40 09/12/2025 Home    L   * -15.58   0  50    A 49 ( 9-33- 0) Conrad BCLUW          -58.11      8.11  Homecoming          
41 09/19/2025 Away    L * *  -9.67   0  45    A 51 ( 6-39- 0) Belmond-Klemme        -52.20      7.20  Homecoming          
42 09/26/2025 Home    L * *  42.67   0  17    A  1 (57- 4- 0) Britt West Hancock      0.00 X  -43.98  pre-game forfeit    
43 10/03/2025 Away    L   *  37.67  12  20    A 43 (13-28- 0) Ackley AGWSR           -4.86     -3.14                      
44 10/10/2025 Home    L * *  18.32  12  49    A 26 (25-20- 0) Mason City Newman     -24.22    -12.78                      
45 10/17/2025 Away    L * *  -2.37  12  55    A 48 (12-33- 0) Sheffield West Fork   -44.90      1.90  Warhawk Youth Night 
      Averages              42.67  18.1 32.0

Best game:   79.95 = 20 point win over Swea City North Union
Worst game: -15.58 = 50 point loss to Conrad BCLUW
Team stdev:  23.39